REN vs PFC
Rennes (home) vs Paris FC · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
REN win 49.0% fair 2.04
Draw 22.2% fair 4.51
PFC win 28.8% fair 3.47
Expected Goals
REN
1.99
—
1.48
PFC
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.3% | fair 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.7% | fair 3.06 |
| Both teams to score | 66.6% | fair 1.50 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 1-1 PFC | 9.2% | |
| REN 2-1 PFC | 9.1% | |
| REN 1-2 PFC | 6.8% | |
| REN 2-2 PFC | 6.7% | |
| REN 1-0 PFC | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 9.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: PFC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).