REN vs PSG
Rennes (home) vs Paris Saint-Germain · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
REN win 29.1% fair 3.44
Draw 21.9% fair 4.56
PSG win 49.0% fair 2.04
Expected Goals
REN
1.44
—
2.03
PSG
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.5% | fair 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.5% | fair 3.07 |
| Both teams to score | 66.4% | fair 1.51 |
Most Likely Scores
| REN 1-2 PSG | 9.2% | |
| REN 1-1 PSG | 9.1% | |
| REN 2-2 PSG | 6.7% | |
| REN 2-1 PSG | 6.5% | |
| REN 0-2 PSG | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 4.5 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: REN goals · Columns: PSG goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).