STR vs SCO
Strasbourg (home) vs Angers · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
STR win 54.3% fair 1.84
Draw 22.7% fair 4.40
SCO win 23.0% fair 4.35
Expected Goals
STR
1.90
—
1.12
SCO
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% | fair 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.9% | fair 2.38 |
| Both teams to score | 57.3% | fair 1.75 |
Most Likely Scores
| STR 1-1 SCO | 10.4% | |
| STR 2-1 SCO | 9.9% | |
| STR 1-0 SCO | 9.3% | |
| STR 2-0 SCO | 8.8% | |
| STR 3-1 SCO | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 10.4 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: STR goals · Columns: SCO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).