STR vs HAC
Strasbourg (home) vs Le Havre · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
STR win 52.6% fair 1.90
Draw 23.3% fair 4.28
HAC win 24.1% fair 4.16
Expected Goals
STR
1.81
—
1.12
HAC
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% | fair 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.7% | fair 2.29 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% | fair 1.77 |
Most Likely Scores
| STR 1-1 HAC | 10.8% | |
| STR 2-1 HAC | 9.8% | |
| STR 1-0 HAC | 9.6% | |
| STR 2-0 HAC | 8.7% | |
| STR 1-2 HAC | 6.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: STR goals · Columns: HAC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).