ATA vs INT
Atalanta (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ATA win 26.9% fair 3.72
Draw 21.6% fair 4.62
INT win 51.5% fair 1.94
Expected Goals
ATA
1.39
—
2.08
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.4% | fair 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.6% | fair 3.06 |
| Both teams to score | 65.7% | fair 1.52 |
Most Likely Scores
| ATA 1-2 INT | 9.4% | |
| ATA 1-1 INT | 9.0% | |
| ATA 0-2 INT | 6.7% | |
| ATA 2-2 INT | 6.5% | |
| ATA 1-3 INT | 6.5% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 4.3 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: ATA goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).