ATA vs INT
Atalanta (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
ATA win 30.4% fair 3.29
Draw 23.9% fair 4.18
INT win 45.7% fair 2.19
Expected Goals
ATA
1.30
—
1.73
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% | fair 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.5% | fair 2.41 |
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | fair 1.67 |
Most Likely Scores
| ATA 1-1 INT | 10.8% | |
| ATA 1-2 INT | 9.4% | |
| ATA 0-1 INT | 8.3% | |
| ATA 0-2 INT | 7.2% | |
| ATA 2-1 INT | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ATA goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).