BOL vs COM
Bologna (home) vs Como · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BOL win 31.1% fair 3.22
Draw 25.9% fair 3.87
COM win 43.0% fair 2.32
Expected Goals
BOL
1.16
—
1.49
COM
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.3% | fair 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.7% | fair 1.97 |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% | fair 1.88 |
Most Likely Scores
| BOL 1-1 COM | 12.2% | |
| BOL 0-1 COM | 10.5% | |
| BOL 1-2 COM | 9.1% | |
| BOL 1-0 COM | 8.2% | |
| BOL 0-2 COM | 7.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 10.5 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: BOL goals · Columns: COM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).