BOL vs INT
Bologna (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 82%
Match Outcome
BOL win 25.6% fair 3.90
Draw 22.7% fair 4.40
INT win 51.7% fair 1.94
Expected Goals
BOL
1.20
—
1.92
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | fair 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.7% | fair 2.52 |
| Both teams to score | 59.6% | fair 1.68 |
Most Likely Scores
| BOL 1-1 INT | 10.2% | |
| BOL 1-2 INT | 9.8% | |
| BOL 0-1 INT | 8.5% | |
| BOL 0-2 INT | 8.1% | |
| BOL 1-3 INT | 6.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BOL goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).