BOL vs ROM
Bologna (home) vs Roma · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
BOL win 31.2% fair 3.20
Draw 25.4% fair 3.94
ROM win 43.4% fair 2.30
Expected Goals
BOL
1.21
—
1.54
ROM
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% | fair 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.3% | fair 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 55.0% | fair 1.82 |
Most Likely Scores
| BOL 1-1 ROM | 11.9% | |
| BOL 0-1 ROM | 9.9% | |
| BOL 1-2 ROM | 9.2% | |
| BOL 1-0 ROM | 7.7% | |
| BOL 0-2 ROM | 7.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 9.9 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 11.9 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: BOL goals · Columns: ROM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).