COM vs BOL
Como (home) vs Bologna · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
COM win 54.8% fair 1.82
Draw 23.6% fair 4.23
BOL win 21.5% fair 4.64
Expected Goals
COM
1.78
—
0.97
BOL
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% | fair 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.1% | fair 2.08 |
| Both teams to score | 51.6% | fair 1.94 |
Most Likely Scores
| COM 1-0 BOL | 11.4% | |
| COM 1-1 BOL | 11.0% | |
| COM 2-0 BOL | 10.1% | |
| COM 2-1 BOL | 9.8% | |
| COM 0-0 BOL | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.4 | 11.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: COM goals · Columns: BOL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).