COM vs INT
Como (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
COM win 35.9% fair 2.79
Draw 23.8% fair 4.20
INT win 40.3% fair 2.48
Expected Goals
COM
1.52
—
1.66
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.5% | fair 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.5% | fair 2.60 |
| Both teams to score | 63.2% | fair 1.58 |
Most Likely Scores
| COM 1-1 INT | 10.5% | |
| COM 1-2 INT | 8.7% | |
| COM 2-1 INT | 8.0% | |
| COM 0-1 INT | 6.9% | |
| COM 2-2 INT | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: COM goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).