COM vs JUV
Como (home) vs Juventus · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
COM win 47.3% fair 2.12
Draw 25.4% fair 3.94
JUV win 27.4% fair 3.66
Expected Goals
COM
1.57
—
1.11
JUV
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.0% | fair 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | fair 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | 53.0% | fair 1.89 |
Most Likely Scores
| COM 1-1 JUV | 12.0% | |
| COM 1-0 JUV | 10.8% | |
| COM 2-1 JUV | 9.4% | |
| COM 2-0 JUV | 8.5% | |
| COM 0-1 JUV | 7.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.0 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: COM goals · Columns: JUV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).