INT vs COM
Inter Milan (home) vs Como · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 53.1% fair 1.88
Draw 22.2% fair 4.50
COM win 24.7% fair 4.04
Expected Goals
INT
1.99
—
1.26
COM
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.1% | fair 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36.9% | fair 2.71 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% | fair 1.62 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 1-1 COM | 9.7% | |
| INT 2-1 COM | 9.7% | |
| INT 1-0 COM | 7.7% | |
| INT 2-0 COM | 7.7% | |
| INT 3-1 COM | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: COM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).