INT vs FIO
Inter Milan (home) vs Fiorentina · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
INT win 71.6% fair 1.40
Draw 16.2% fair 6.16
FIO win 12.2% fair 8.19
Expected Goals
INT
2.65
—
0.86
FIO
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.1% | fair 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31.9% | fair 3.13 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | fair 1.87 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-0 FIO | 10.5% | |
| INT 3-0 FIO | 9.3% | |
| INT 2-1 FIO | 9.0% | |
| INT 3-1 FIO | 8.0% | |
| INT 1-0 FIO | 7.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 7.9 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.3 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 5.5 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: FIO goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).