INT vs GEN
Inter Milan (home) vs Genoa · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
INT win 70.8% fair 1.41
Draw 16.7% fair 6.01
GEN win 12.5% fair 7.98
Expected Goals
INT
2.59
—
0.86
GEN
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% | fair 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.1% | fair 3.02 |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% | fair 1.88 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-0 GEN | 10.7% | |
| INT 3-0 GEN | 9.2% | |
| INT 2-1 GEN | 9.2% | |
| INT 1-0 GEN | 8.3% | |
| INT 3-1 GEN | 7.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.2 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: GEN goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).