INT vs JUV
Inter Milan (home) vs Juventus · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 58.3% fair 1.72
Draw 21.0% fair 4.76
JUV win 20.7% fair 4.83
Expected Goals
INT
2.13
—
1.14
JUV
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% | fair 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36.5% | fair 2.74 |
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | fair 1.67 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-1 JUV | 9.8% | |
| INT 1-1 JUV | 9.2% | |
| INT 2-0 JUV | 8.6% | |
| INT 1-0 JUV | 8.1% | |
| INT 3-1 JUV | 7.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: JUV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).