INT vs LEC
Inter Milan (home) vs Lecce · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 76.4% fair 1.31
Draw 14.1% fair 7.11
LEC win 9.6% fair 10.47
Expected Goals
INT
2.85
—
0.77
LEC
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.0% | fair 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30.0% | fair 3.33 |
| Both teams to score | 50.5% | fair 1.98 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-0 LEC | 10.9% | |
| INT 3-0 LEC | 10.4% | |
| INT 2-1 LEC | 8.4% | |
| INT 3-1 LEC | 8.0% | |
| INT 1-0 LEC | 7.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 10.4 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 7.4 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: LEC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).