INT vs MIL
Inter Milan (home) vs AC Milan · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 55.7% fair 1.80
Draw 21.5% fair 4.65
MIL win 22.8% fair 4.38
Expected Goals
INT
2.08
—
1.23
MIL
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% | fair 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.9% | fair 2.79 |
| Both teams to score | 61.8% | fair 1.62 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-1 MIL | 9.7% | |
| INT 1-1 MIL | 9.4% | |
| INT 2-0 MIL | 7.9% | |
| INT 1-0 MIL | 7.6% | |
| INT 3-1 MIL | 6.7% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: MIL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).