INT vs NAP
Inter Milan (home) vs Napoli · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
INT win 52.4% fair 1.91
Draw 22.9% fair 4.37
NAP win 24.7% fair 4.05
Expected Goals
INT
1.88
—
1.19
NAP
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% | fair 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.6% | fair 2.46 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% | fair 1.69 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 1-1 NAP | 10.4% | |
| INT 2-1 NAP | 9.8% | |
| INT 1-0 NAP | 8.7% | |
| INT 2-0 NAP | 8.2% | |
| INT 1-2 NAP | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 10.4 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: NAP goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).