INT vs PAR
Inter Milan (home) vs Parma · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
INT win 69.7% fair 1.44
Draw 18.1% fair 5.54
PAR win 12.3% fair 8.14
Expected Goals
INT
2.31
—
0.71
PAR
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% | fair 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.9% | fair 2.39 |
| Both teams to score | 45.9% | fair 2.18 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-0 PAR | 13.0% | |
| INT 1-0 PAR | 11.3% | |
| INT 3-0 PAR | 10.0% | |
| INT 2-1 PAR | 9.3% | |
| INT 1-1 PAR | 8.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 13.0 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 10.0 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 4.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: PAR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).