INT vs ROM
Inter Milan (home) vs Roma · model confidence 86% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 49.5% fair 2.02
Draw 22.3% fair 4.49
ROM win 28.2% fair 3.55
Expected Goals
INT
1.97
—
1.43
ROM
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.9% | fair 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34.1% | fair 2.93 |
| Both teams to score | 65.4% | fair 1.53 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 1-1 ROM | 9.4% | |
| INT 2-1 ROM | 9.3% | |
| INT 1-2 ROM | 6.7% | |
| INT 2-2 ROM | 6.6% | |
| INT 1-0 ROM | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 9.4 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: ROM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).