INT vs SAS
Inter Milan (home) vs Sassuolo · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 73.0% fair 1.37
Draw 15.0% fair 6.69
SAS win 12.1% fair 8.29
Expected Goals
INT
2.93
—
1.02
SAS
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.4% | fair 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.6% | fair 4.07 |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% | fair 1.65 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-1 SAS | 8.4% | |
| INT 2-0 SAS | 8.3% | |
| INT 3-1 SAS | 8.2% | |
| INT 3-0 SAS | 8.1% | |
| INT 4-1 SAS | 6.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 6.3 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: SAS goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).