EDGERATING
Methodology

INT vs TOR

Inter Milan (home) vs Torino · model confidence 80%

Match Outcome

INT win 73.8% fair 1.35
Draw 14.8% fair 6.76
TOR win 11.4% fair 8.79

Expected Goals

INT 2.91 0.91 TOR
Over 2.5 goals73.5%fair 1.36
Under 2.5 goals26.5%fair 3.77
Both teams to score56.6%fair 1.77

Most Likely Scores

INT 2-0 TOR9.3%
INT 3-0 TOR9.0%
INT 2-1 TOR8.4%
INT 3-1 TOR8.2%
INT 4-0 TOR6.5%

Scoreline Matrix

012345+
0 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
1 6.4 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0
2 9.3 8.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 9.0 8.2 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 6.5 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
5+ 6.8 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0

Rows: INT goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).

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