INT vs TOR
Inter Milan (home) vs Torino · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
INT win 73.8% fair 1.35
Draw 14.6% fair 6.85
TOR win 11.6% fair 8.62
Expected Goals
INT
2.98
—
1.00
TOR
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.8% | fair 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.2% | fair 4.14 |
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | fair 1.67 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-0 TOR | 8.3% | |
| INT 2-1 TOR | 8.3% | |
| INT 3-0 TOR | 8.2% | |
| INT 3-1 TOR | 8.2% | |
| INT 4-0 TOR | 6.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 6.6 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).