INT vs UDI
Inter Milan (home) vs Udinese · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
INT win 65.9% fair 1.52
Draw 18.6% fair 5.36
UDI win 15.4% fair 6.49
Expected Goals
INT
2.39
—
0.95
UDI
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.9% | fair 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.1% | fair 2.85 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% | fair 1.79 |
Most Likely Scores
| INT 2-0 UDI | 10.1% | |
| INT 2-1 UDI | 9.6% | |
| INT 1-0 UDI | 8.4% | |
| INT 1-1 UDI | 8.1% | |
| INT 3-0 UDI | 8.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: INT goals · Columns: UDI goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).