JUV vs COM
Juventus (home) vs Como · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
JUV win 38.0% fair 2.63
Draw 26.3% fair 3.81
COM win 35.7% fair 2.80
Expected Goals
JUV
1.33
—
1.31
COM
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.0% | fair 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.0% | fair 1.96 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% | fair 1.87 |
Most Likely Scores
| JUV 1-1 COM | 12.4% | |
| JUV 1-0 COM | 9.5% | |
| JUV 0-1 COM | 9.4% | |
| JUV 2-1 COM | 8.3% | |
| JUV 1-2 COM | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 12.4 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: JUV goals · Columns: COM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).