JUV vs INT
Juventus (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
JUV win 30.9% fair 3.23
Draw 23.5% fair 4.26
INT win 45.6% fair 2.19
Expected Goals
JUV
1.37
—
1.77
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% | fair 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.1% | fair 2.56 |
| Both teams to score | 62.0% | fair 1.61 |
Most Likely Scores
| JUV 1-1 INT | 10.5% | |
| JUV 1-2 INT | 9.3% | |
| JUV 0-1 INT | 7.6% | |
| JUV 2-1 INT | 7.2% | |
| JUV 0-2 INT | 6.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: JUV goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).