JUV vs TOR
Juventus (home) vs Torino · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
JUV win 57.6% fair 1.74
Draw 22.0% fair 4.55
TOR win 20.4% fair 4.90
Expected Goals
JUV
1.99
—
1.03
TOR
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% | fair 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.9% | fair 2.39 |
| Both teams to score | 55.6% | fair 1.80 |
Most Likely Scores
| JUV 1-1 TOR | 10.0% | |
| JUV 2-1 TOR | 10.0% | |
| JUV 1-0 TOR | 9.7% | |
| JUV 2-0 TOR | 9.6% | |
| JUV 3-1 TOR | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: JUV goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).