LAZ vs TOR
Lazio (home) vs Torino · model confidence 81% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LAZ win 56.1% fair 1.78
Draw 22.4% fair 4.47
TOR win 21.5% fair 4.64
Expected Goals
LAZ
1.94
—
1.07
TOR
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% | fair 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.1% | fair 2.38 |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% | fair 1.78 |
Most Likely Scores
| LAZ 1-1 TOR | 10.2% | |
| LAZ 2-1 TOR | 9.9% | |
| LAZ 1-0 TOR | 9.6% | |
| LAZ 2-0 TOR | 9.3% | |
| LAZ 3-1 TOR | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.3 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LAZ goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).