LEC vs INT
Lecce (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
LEC win 17.9% fair 5.60
Draw 20.6% fair 4.86
INT win 61.6% fair 1.62
Expected Goals
LEC
0.88
—
2.11
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% | fair 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.6% | fair 2.35 |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% | fair 1.95 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEC 0-2 INT | 11.2% | |
| LEC 0-1 INT | 10.6% | |
| LEC 1-2 INT | 9.9% | |
| LEC 1-1 INT | 9.3% | |
| LEC 0-3 INT | 7.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 10.6 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 2 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEC goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).