LEC vs INT
Lecce (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
LEC win 15.7% fair 6.38
Draw 18.4% fair 5.43
INT win 65.9% fair 1.52
Expected Goals
LEC
0.92
—
2.37
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% | fair 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36.1% | fair 2.77 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% | fair 1.83 |
Most Likely Scores
| LEC 0-2 INT | 10.5% | |
| LEC 1-2 INT | 9.6% | |
| LEC 0-1 INT | 8.8% | |
| LEC 0-3 INT | 8.3% | |
| LEC 1-1 INT | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 8.8 | 10.5 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| 1 | 3.4 | 8.1 | 9.6 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| 2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: LEC goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).