MIL vs INT
AC Milan (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
MIL win 33.7% fair 2.97
Draw 23.5% fair 4.25
INT win 42.8% fair 2.34
Expected Goals
MIL
1.47
—
1.73
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% | fair 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.9% | fair 2.64 |
| Both teams to score | 63.4% | fair 1.58 |
Most Likely Scores
| MIL 1-1 INT | 10.4% | |
| MIL 1-2 INT | 9.0% | |
| MIL 2-1 INT | 7.6% | |
| MIL 0-1 INT | 7.0% | |
| MIL 2-2 INT | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.0 | 10.4 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: MIL goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).