MIL vs INT
AC Milan (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
MIL win 32.4% fair 3.09
Draw 24.3% fair 4.11
INT win 43.3% fair 2.31
Expected Goals
MIL
1.34
—
1.65
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% | fair 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.6% | fair 2.35 |
| Both teams to score | 59.6% | fair 1.68 |
Most Likely Scores
| MIL 1-1 INT | 11.1% | |
| MIL 1-2 INT | 9.2% | |
| MIL 0-1 INT | 8.3% | |
| MIL 2-1 INT | 7.5% | |
| MIL 0-2 INT | 6.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 8.3 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 11.1 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: MIL goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).