MIL vs TOR
AC Milan (home) vs Torino · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
MIL win 60.8% fair 1.65
Draw 20.8% fair 4.81
TOR win 18.5% fair 5.42
Expected Goals
MIL
2.13
—
1.01
TOR
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.7% | fair 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.3% | fair 2.54 |
| Both teams to score | 56.0% | fair 1.79 |
Most Likely Scores
| MIL 2-1 TOR | 9.9% | |
| MIL 2-0 TOR | 9.8% | |
| MIL 1-1 TOR | 9.3% | |
| MIL 1-0 TOR | 9.2% | |
| MIL 3-1 TOR | 7.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: MIL goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).