ROM vs ATA
Roma (home) vs Atalanta · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
ROM win 49.7% fair 2.01
Draw 24.6% fair 4.06
ATA win 25.6% fair 3.90
Expected Goals
ROM
1.67
—
1.09
ATA
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.0% | fair 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.0% | fair 2.09 |
| Both teams to score | 53.9% | fair 1.86 |
Most Likely Scores
| ROM 1-1 ATA | 11.5% | |
| ROM 1-0 ATA | 10.6% | |
| ROM 2-1 ATA | 9.6% | |
| ROM 2-0 ATA | 8.8% | |
| ROM 0-1 ATA | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ROM goals · Columns: ATA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).