ROM vs COM
Roma (home) vs Como · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ROM win 47.3% fair 2.12
Draw 24.5% fair 4.07
COM win 28.2% fair 3.55
Expected Goals
ROM
1.66
—
1.21
COM
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.6% | fair 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.4% | fair 2.20 |
| Both teams to score | 56.7% | fair 1.76 |
Most Likely Scores
| ROM 1-1 COM | 11.4% | |
| ROM 1-0 COM | 9.5% | |
| ROM 2-1 COM | 9.5% | |
| ROM 2-0 COM | 7.8% | |
| ROM 0-1 COM | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 11.4 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ROM goals · Columns: COM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).