ROM vs INT
Roma (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 83%
Match Outcome
ROM win 37.0% fair 2.70
Draw 24.4% fair 4.10
INT win 38.6% fair 2.59
Expected Goals
ROM
1.49
—
1.55
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.6% | fair 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.4% | fair 2.41 |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% | fair 1.64 |
Most Likely Scores
| ROM 1-1 INT | 11.0% | |
| ROM 1-2 INT | 8.6% | |
| ROM 2-1 INT | 8.2% | |
| ROM 0-1 INT | 7.4% | |
| ROM 1-0 INT | 7.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 11.0 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ROM goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).