ROM vs TOR
Roma (home) vs Torino · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ROM win 66.6% fair 1.50
Draw 18.5% fair 5.41
TOR win 14.9% fair 6.73
Expected Goals
ROM
2.37
—
0.93
TOR
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% | fair 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.9% | fair 2.79 |
| Both teams to score | 54.9% | fair 1.82 |
Most Likely Scores
| ROM 2-0 TOR | 10.4% | |
| ROM 2-1 TOR | 9.6% | |
| ROM 1-0 TOR | 8.7% | |
| ROM 3-0 TOR | 8.2% | |
| ROM 1-1 TOR | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ROM goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).