SAS vs INT
Sassuolo (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SAS win 18.7% fair 5.33
Draw 18.1% fair 5.53
INT win 63.2% fair 1.58
Expected Goals
SAS
1.24
—
2.59
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.7% | fair 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26.3% | fair 3.80 |
| Both teams to score | 65.8% | fair 1.52 |
Most Likely Scores
| SAS 1-2 INT | 9.0% | |
| SAS 1-3 INT | 7.8% | |
| SAS 0-2 INT | 7.3% | |
| SAS 1-1 INT | 7.0% | |
| SAS 0-3 INT | 6.3% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 1 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: SAS goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).