SAS vs ROM
Sassuolo (home) vs Roma · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
SAS win 22.8% fair 4.39
Draw 21.5% fair 4.64
ROM win 55.7% fair 1.80
Expected Goals
SAS
1.15
—
2.07
ROM
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% | fair 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.5% | fair 2.67 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% | fair 1.67 |
Most Likely Scores
| SAS 1-2 ROM | 9.8% | |
| SAS 1-1 ROM | 9.5% | |
| SAS 0-2 ROM | 8.5% | |
| SAS 0-1 ROM | 8.2% | |
| SAS 1-3 ROM | 6.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 1 | 4.6 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: SAS goals · Columns: ROM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).