TOR vs INT
Torino (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
TOR win 19.2% fair 5.21
Draw 18.7% fair 5.34
INT win 62.1% fair 1.61
Expected Goals
TOR
1.20
—
2.48
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.1% | fair 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28.9% | fair 3.46 |
| Both teams to score | 64.0% | fair 1.56 |
Most Likely Scores
| TOR 1-2 INT | 9.3% | |
| TOR 0-2 INT | 7.8% | |
| TOR 1-3 INT | 7.7% | |
| TOR 1-1 INT | 7.5% | |
| TOR 0-3 INT | 6.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 2 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: TOR goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).