UDI vs INT
Udinese (home) vs Inter Milan · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
UDI win 18.1% fair 5.52
Draw 18.5% fair 5.41
INT win 63.4% fair 1.58
Expected Goals
UDI
1.13
—
2.48
INT
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.0% | fair 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30.0% | fair 3.33 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% | fair 1.61 |
Most Likely Scores
| UDI 1-2 INT | 9.4% | |
| UDI 0-2 INT | 8.3% | |
| UDI 1-3 INT | 7.8% | |
| UDI 1-1 INT | 7.6% | |
| UDI 0-3 INT | 6.9% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| 1 | 3.1 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: UDI goals · Columns: INT goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).