UDI vs ROM
Udinese (home) vs Roma · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
UDI win 21.9% fair 4.56
Draw 22.1% fair 4.54
ROM win 56.0% fair 1.79
Expected Goals
UDI
1.05
—
1.98
ROM
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% | fair 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.6% | fair 2.40 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% | fair 1.78 |
Most Likely Scores
| UDI 1-1 ROM | 10.0% | |
| UDI 1-2 ROM | 9.9% | |
| UDI 0-1 ROM | 9.5% | |
| UDI 0-2 ROM | 9.4% | |
| UDI 1-3 ROM | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| 1 | 5.1 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: UDI goals · Columns: ROM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).