UDI vs TOR
Udinese (home) vs Torino · model confidence 80% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
UDI win 42.2% fair 2.37
Draw 24.2% fair 4.14
TOR win 33.6% fair 2.98
Expected Goals
UDI
1.64
—
1.45
TOR
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% | fair 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.4% | fair 2.47 |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% | fair 1.62 |
Most Likely Scores
| UDI 1-1 TOR | 10.8% | |
| UDI 2-1 TOR | 8.9% | |
| UDI 1-2 TOR | 7.8% | |
| UDI 1-0 TOR | 7.5% | |
| UDI 0-1 TOR | 6.6% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 10.8 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: UDI goals · Columns: TOR goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).