ALA vs LEV
Alavés (home) vs Levante · model confidence 82% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
ALA win 45.5% fair 2.20
Draw 24.3% fair 4.11
LEV win 30.2% fair 3.31
Expected Goals
ALA
1.62
—
1.28
LEV
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.5% | fair 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.5% | fair 2.25 |
| Both teams to score | 58.0% | fair 1.72 |
Most Likely Scores
| ALA 1-1 LEV | 11.4% | |
| ALA 2-1 LEV | 9.2% | |
| ALA 1-0 LEV | 8.9% | |
| ALA 1-2 LEV | 7.3% | |
| ALA 2-0 LEV | 7.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: ALA goals · Columns: LEV goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).