FCB vs BET
Barcelona (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 87% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
FCB win 71.9% fair 1.39
Draw 15.0% fair 6.65
BET win 13.0% fair 7.68
Expected Goals
FCB
2.93
—
1.13
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.1% | fair 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 22.9% | fair 4.36 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% | fair 1.56 |
Most Likely Scores
| FCB 2-1 BET | 8.4% | |
| FCB 3-1 BET | 8.2% | |
| FCB 2-0 BET | 7.4% | |
| FCB 3-0 BET | 7.2% | |
| FCB 4-1 BET | 6.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 5.6 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Rows: FCB goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).