EDGERATING
Methodology

FCB vs GET

Barcelona (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83%

Match Outcome

FCB win 70.0% fair 1.43
Draw 18.0% fair 5.54
GET win 12.0% fair 8.37

Expected Goals

FCB 2.24 0.70 GET
Over 2.5 goals56.3%fair 1.78
Under 2.5 goals43.7%fair 2.29
Both teams to score44.8%fair 2.23

Most Likely Scores

FCB 2-0 GET13.3%
FCB 1-0 GET11.9%
FCB 3-0 GET10.0%
FCB 2-1 GET9.3%
FCB 1-1 GET8.3%

Scoreline Matrix

012345+
0 5.3 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
1 11.9 8.3 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
2 13.3 9.3 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
3 10.0 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
4 5.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
5+ 3.8 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0

Rows: FCB goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).

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