BET vs ALA
Real Betis (home) vs Alavés · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 53.5% fair 1.87
Draw 23.3% fair 4.29
ALA win 23.2% fair 4.32
Expected Goals
BET
1.79
—
1.06
ALA
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% | fair 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.8% | fair 2.18 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% | fair 1.84 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 ALA | 11.0% | |
| BET 1-0 ALA | 10.4% | |
| BET 2-1 ALA | 9.8% | |
| BET 2-0 ALA | 9.2% | |
| BET 0-1 ALA | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: ALA goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).