BET vs ATH
Real Betis (home) vs Athletic Club · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 52.0% fair 1.92
Draw 23.7% fair 4.21
ATH win 24.2% fair 4.13
Expected Goals
BET
1.73
—
1.08
ATH
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.4% | fair 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.6% | fair 2.15 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% | fair 1.84 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 ATH | 11.2% | |
| BET 1-0 ATH | 10.4% | |
| BET 2-1 ATH | 9.7% | |
| BET 2-0 ATH | 9.0% | |
| BET 0-1 ATH | 6.5% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: ATH goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).