BET vs ATM
Real Betis (home) vs Atlético Madrid · model confidence 85% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 37.0% fair 2.71
Draw 25.0% fair 4.01
ATM win 38.1% fair 2.63
Expected Goals
BET
1.39
—
1.45
ATM
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% | fair 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.9% | fair 2.18 |
| Both teams to score | 57.5% | fair 1.74 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 ATM | 11.8% | |
| BET 1-2 ATM | 8.5% | |
| BET 0-1 ATM | 8.5% | |
| BET 2-1 ATM | 8.2% | |
| BET 1-0 ATM | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 11.8 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: ATM goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).