EDGERATING
Methodology

BET vs FCB

Real Betis (home) vs Barcelona · model confidence 84%

Match Outcome

BET win 26.0% fair 3.85
Draw 22.2% fair 4.51
FCB win 51.8% fair 1.93

Expected Goals

BET 1.23 1.95 FCB
Over 2.5 goals61.6%fair 1.62
Under 2.5 goals38.4%fair 2.60
Both teams to score60.7%fair 1.65

Most Likely Scores

BET 1-1 FCB10.0%
BET 1-2 FCB9.7%
BET 0-1 FCB8.1%
BET 0-2 FCB7.9%
BET 1-3 FCB6.3%

Scoreline Matrix

012345+
0 4.2 8.1 7.9 5.1 2.5 1.4
1 5.1 10.0 9.7 6.3 3.1 1.7
2 3.2 6.2 6.0 3.9 1.9 1.1
3 1.3 2.5 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.4
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5+ 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0

Rows: BET goals · Columns: FCB goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).

Try Another Matchup

vs