BET vs CEL
Real Betis (home) vs Celta Vigo · model confidence 84% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 46.7% fair 2.14
Draw 25.5% fair 3.92
CEL win 27.8% fair 3.60
Expected Goals
BET
1.51
—
1.10
CEL
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.5% | fair 2.06 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.5% | fair 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 52.0% | fair 1.92 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 CEL | 12.2% | |
| BET 1-0 CEL | 11.1% | |
| BET 2-1 CEL | 9.2% | |
| BET 2-0 CEL | 8.4% | |
| BET 0-1 CEL | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 12.2 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: CEL goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).