BET vs ELC
Real Betis (home) vs Elche · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 53.3% fair 1.88
Draw 22.6% fair 4.43
ELC win 24.2% fair 4.14
Expected Goals
BET
1.89
—
1.18
ELC
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% | fair 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.8% | fair 2.45 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% | fair 1.70 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 ELC | 10.3% | |
| BET 2-1 ELC | 9.8% | |
| BET 1-0 ELC | 8.8% | |
| BET 2-0 ELC | 8.3% | |
| BET 3-1 ELC | 6.2% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 10.3 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: ELC goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).