BET vs ESP
Real Betis (home) vs Espanyol · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
BET win 55.5% fair 1.80
Draw 22.9% fair 4.37
ESP win 21.6% fair 4.63
Expected Goals
BET
1.83
—
1.01
ESP
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% | fair 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.9% | fair 2.18 |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% | fair 1.87 |
Most Likely Scores
| BET 1-1 ESP | 10.8% | |
| BET 1-0 ESP | 10.6% | |
| BET 2-1 ESP | 9.9% | |
| BET 2-0 ESP | 9.7% | |
| BET 3-1 ESP | 6.0% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: BET goals · Columns: ESP goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).